Futures backtesting has pitfalls that equity backtesting doesn't: contract rolls distort returns, near/far spreads behave differently near expiry, and basis convergence is non-linear. alphabench's Quant agent handles all of this through specialised futures tools that account for expiry calendars, roll adjustments, and multi-contract positions.

1. Continuous contract momentum strategy

The simplest futures backtest is trend-following on a continuous (back-adjusted) contract:

"Backtest a momentum strategy on NIFTY futures. Go long when 20-day EMA crosses above 50-day EMA, exit when it crosses below. Test the last 3 years using continuous (back-adjusted) contracts."

The Quant agent calls backtest_futures with back-adjusted price series so the roll gap doesn't create false signals. You'll get:

  • Equity curve with each roll point marked
  • Per-trade P&L including financing cost estimates
  • Sharpe, CAGR, max drawdown
  • Roll cost impact (how much the back-adjustment affected returns)

Common single-contract futures setups:

  • Index futures (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY) for trend following or mean-reversion
  • Single-stock futures for large-caps (RELIANCE RELIANCE logoNSE:RELIANCE, HDFCBANK HDFCBANK logoNSE:HDFCBANK, INFY INFY logoNSE:INFY, TCS TCS logoNSE:TCS)
  • Commodity futures for cross-asset portfolios (NSE-listed only)

2. Calendar spread (near vs far contract)

Calendar spreads profit from the spread between near and far expiry contracts narrowing or widening. This is distinct from a directional futures position. You're trading the shape of the futures curve, not the underlying price.

"Backtest a long calendar spread on BANKNIFTY futures: buy the near-month contract, sell the next-month contract. Enter when the spread is below its 30-day average, exit when it reverts to average. Test the last 2 years."

The Quant agent calls backtest_futures_calendar which:

  • Tracks both legs independently through each expiry
  • Handles near-leg expiry roll automatically (rolls the short leg on rollover day)
  • Computes net P&L as spread convergence/divergence, not raw price move
  • Returns per-trade spread entry, exit, and realised move

3. Cash-and-carry basis trade

A basis trade exploits the difference between the futures price and the spot price (the "basis"). As expiry approaches, the basis converges to zero. A classic carry trade is: buy spot, sell futures, collect the spread as it converges.

"Backtest a cash-and-carry basis trade on RELIANCE: when futures trade at more than 0.5% premium to spot, short the futures and notionally hold spot. Exit at 0.1% premium or on expiry. Test the last 18 months."

The Quant agent calls backtest_futures_basis. The tool:

  • Computes the basis (futures - spot) at each bar
  • Simulates entry when basis crosses your threshold
  • Accounts for the convergence path (non-linear near expiry)
  • Estimates financing cost on the spot leg

4. Hedged equity + futures

A common institutional strategy: hold a diversified equity portfolio and hedge the systematic risk with index futures. The futures leg creates a beta-neutral (or partially neutral) book.

"Backtest a hedged equity strategy: hold Nifty 50 INDICES:NIFTY 50 stocks, short NIFTY futures to hedge 70% of portfolio beta. Rebalance the hedge monthly. Test the last 3 years."

The Quant agent calls backtest_futures_hedged:

  • Computes portfolio beta vs NIFTY at each rebalance point
  • Sizes the futures short to achieve the target hedge ratio
  • Separates alpha (stock selection) from market return in the equity curve
  • Returns Sharpe for the hedged vs unhedged portfolio side-by-side

5. Intraday futures on 1m / 5m bars

For intraday futures strategies, the platform constructs 1-minute or 5-minute OHLC bars from tick data:

"Backtest an intraday momentum strategy on NIFTY futures: go long when 5-minute bar closes above the 15-period VWAP with volume > 1.5x average, exit at 15:15 or when RSI exceeds 70. Test June 2024 to June 2025."

The Quant agent calls backtest_futures_intraday:

  • Runs on intraday OHLC bars (1m or 5m) not daily close data
  • Supports VWAP, intraday EMAs, opening range, volume filters
  • EOD flat: all positions close at 15:25 automatically
  • Returns time-of-day P&L heatmap so you can see which sessions the strategy works

6. Reading futures backtest results

All futures backtests return:

FieldWhat it tells you
Equity curveCumulative P&L with roll events marked
Per-trade tableEntry/exit date, price, quantity, P&L, roll-adjusted basis
Roll cost summaryTotal drag from contract rolls across the test period
Sharpe / CAGR / Max DDStandard metrics on roll-adjusted returns
Financing cost estimateImplicit cost of holding the futures position overnight

For calendar and basis trades, there's an additional spread P&L breakdown showing what each leg contributed.

7. Validate before deploying

Futures strategies benefit from the same validation workflow as equity strategies:

"Run a walk-forward test on the NIFTY calendar spread strategy with 6 folds and a 70/30 split."

See Walk-Forward and Monte Carlo Validation for the full workflow. The stitched out-of-sample equity curve is especially important for calendar spreads where the in-sample period can have unusual carry regimes.